Archive for category Cellulosic Bio Refinery
National Biomass Map
Posted by 2011wd in 2012 BTL report, 2012 Energy Report, Biomass Map, Biorefinery, BTL, Cellulosic Bio Refinery, downstream, Green Chemistry, Green Design, Green Sustainable Future, green transportation, GTL, integrate CAD/BIM/GIS, Integrated Farming, midstream on March 20, 2012
Notice the three GTL aspects at the bottom of the map page.
We would add two more. Seems some have forgotten old energy designs must be a part of the economic equation
in their bio based economic business model evaluations.
This is directly related to wholesale production cost demands which are extensive in all biomass systems.
This the reason why all of our Green sciences research is both, BTL, & GTL, oriented. If you don’t have Water Remediation added to the mix, your plant is outdated and not truly integrated. If Algae is not a major part of that remediation, you’re not thinking sub systems integration.
The Catalysts is a vital part of the cost effective bio-refinery. Is the Catalysts plentiful & affordable? Is it Bio Based?
Posted by 2011wd in Bio Based Research Institute, Bio-AutoGas, Bio-Composites, Bio-gas, BioBased, Biocatalysts, Biology, Biorefinery, BTL, Cellulosic Bio Refinery on March 12, 2012
The Two Sinks for Co2. Algae and Agri-Char
Posted by 2011wd in 2012 BTL report, 2012 Energy Report, Agri Char, Algae, Aquatic Farming, Biorefinery, BTL, CCSC, Cellulosic Bio Refinery, Green Chemistry, Waste To Energy, Water and Waste Treatment on March 11, 2012
If your bio-refinery is truly integrated then you must be advanced in both Algae growth and Agri-Char for the purposes of CO2 Sinks.
It is no longer Carbon Capture and Storage. CCS. It is rather CCSC. Carbon Capture, Storage, & Conversion.
If your not converting CO2 into products, you are missing the clean, green, integration boat.
Gevo has been rated third in 2011.
Posted by 2011wd in 2012 BTL report, 2012 Energy Report, Biorefinery, BTL, CAD/BIM/GIS, Cellulosic Bio Refinery, Gevo on March 6, 2012
Gevo has the new fuel product regarded by many in the know, as higher alcohols attractive.
GEVO 7.17 0.50 6.52% 2.17 187.12M -40.08M 3.10 38.42% 5.60 -2.15 -0.54 26.10M -0.15 -18.22% -0.56
They also have a negative EBITDA of
-40.08M for 2011.
With a 26M float and the forward est. earnings projected to be -53 cents per share, it would seem the negative EBITDA will keep coming for a while.
No one has proven to us as yet, that the science for their favorite alternative fuel, has proven to be cost effective per gal. From what we know with regard to that complex higher alcohol objective the price has not come down by the gal. While we admire the higher alcohol objective, we find it hard to believe it can be produced cheaply as yet.
If we are wrong, we will eat crow, as this is just our two cents. Why not, PROVE IT. What you don’t hear with all of their science speak, is any words with regard to cost effective production costs. Not one word. Is it any wonder then the negative numbers keep coming.
The first question that should always be asked with every new alternative fuel blend & feedstock is this. What is your est. cost to produce per gal?
If they can’t tell you. Move on down the road.
The size of the plant is as important as the design and build.
Posted by 2011wd in 10K Dekatherms, 2012 BTL report, 2012 Energy Report, Bio-AutoGas, Bio-gas, Biorefinery, BTL, Butane, CAD/BIM/GIS, Cellulosic Bio Refinery, Ethane, GTL, Price on March 6, 2012
Anything over 30,000 gals a day is to much during the first phase.
It is possible to see large scale development projects ongoing in alternative fuels and nothing is more ill advised than spending to much money or building to a plant that is far to big. If there is not a blend of BTL and GTL Advanced research in the build, the cost is misguided at best. What comes of these large scale plants is poor utilization rates and that can be seen across the board. Add in transport costs and you have a recipe for operations & economic disaster.
Only when the mix is integrated and designed around modular model phase advancement will it be designed correctly. Anything else is simply a waste of money.
There are excellent people within the research and business development arms of the alternative energy business. Those people are of interest to us. As we review each company in the BTL & GTL reports we are only reporting on the numbers spent and the design and build as we see it.
This does not mean their research and business efforts don’t show promise or that they may not experience growth in the outlying years. Their research maybe wonderful and their business model may yet prove successful. We simply see everything from the investor side of the line.
Viewed as if, it were are own money, because it has been. Every step of the way.
Plants are reported with yearly production models. We find that most amusing. As if the plant will be operating all day,every day. What our lifetime in operations has taught us from the trouble shooter side of the line, is this. The key to success is learning operations and managing operations over time with a cost effective business model and trained staff. Past that you never know if your going to be producing the next day or not.
You sure as hell, don’t know your annual numbers, unless you have a working history of proven results, which is not the case with any integrated bio-refinery, anywhere in the world. Might look good to help raise money from investors, but otherwise, it’s bull corn.
What the markets do tell is this. If you can’t produce for $2 a gal, get out of the business.
Finally the FED gets it RIGHT. FINALLY
Posted by greensciences in 2011 Energy Report, 2011 Power Report, Bio-Composites, Bio-gas, Biorefinery, CAD/BIM/GIS, Cellulosic Bio Refinery, Eco Trust Land Acq., FSC Lumber, Fuel Cells, Green Jobs, Green Lending, Green Parks, Green Schools, Green Sustainable Future, Greenhouses, GTL, integrate CAD/BIM/GIS, Integrated Farming, M & A, Master Planning, Oil Prices, Permaculture, Power Towers, Regional and Community banks, Restructure & Recapitization, Restructure Reports, Seeds, Solar, STE, TES Thermal Energy Storage, Waste To Energy, Water and Waste Treatment, Wind on August 9, 2011
The question becomes how long with that last. If they stick to their guns, we might begin to see the value levels that are real relative to current market conditions. Once there, we might begin to rebuild from the base valuations which have been hidden by past FED ACTION.
MAYBE JUST MAYBE, we might begin to build a new alternative energy sustainable future, when they learn to stay out of the way.
We shall see.
As for us, We ARE READY.
A lesson every green energy producer must learn.
Posted by greensciences in 2011 Energy Report, BTL, Cellulosic Bio Refinery, Energy Policy, Feedstock, Finance, Fuel Cells, Greed, Green Sustainable Future, GTL, M & A, Natural Gas, Oil Prices, Remediation, Solar, Solar Companies, Wind on April 6, 2011
If you don’t understand the price action of the product, you will not last more than a few years in alternative energy or energy in general. This in large part because the powers that be, can wipe saw you to pieces, with the ups and downs of the PERCEIVED SUPPLY and demand, that makes up, energy trading.
Until you learn the trading action, NEVER TAKE A DIME from a single investor. YOU BOTH WILL GET BEAT.
The very reason old energy doesn’t care about green energy solutions. They know they can pick it up on less than it cost you to build it if you don’t understand the long term price action. Plan on trading for 15 years, then consider producing. Better yet, 25.
You don’t have to like the product, but you MUST RESPECT IT. This was, and has, NOT BEEN DONE, by most in bio based fuels. Add to the mix that what was produced is not truly green and it becomes easy to see WHY, MOST Who claim to understand investment in green fuel PRODUCTION, Don’t know their BUTT from their ELBOW.
Natural Gas is greener than most Alternative Energy Plays and YET, it is still regarded as FAR LESS THAN GREEN. The concern is directly related to drilling into the ground and doing anything that is not natural to the subsurface. Anything that might end up in the water table is regarded as a major risk and the clean burn aspect of natural gas will always be seen as less than ideal.
see both sides dealing with natural gas…
&
& here, where the real problems start to surface, to the point the ranchers are asking earthjustice for help…
http://earthjustice.org/features/coalbed-methane-in-the-powder-river-basin
What is always easy to see in each of these energy plays is moderation MUST factor into the overall equation or problems become the NORM.
IT HAS BEEN and ALWAYS WILL BE, OPERATIONS that proves up long term sustainable success in all energy solutions. OPERATIONS DEMAND moderation. They also demand REMEDIATION. If you don’t know REMEDIATION stay out of energy production and stay out of operations. YOU WILL ONLY FAIL, LONG TERM.
If you are in solar and wind and think, Natural gas will not play a major role in the future of energy, YOU ARE IN FOR A SLOW ROAD to NOWHERE, & SO are your INVESTORS.









