Archive for category Old Energy Designs
The build-outs will be outdated by the time they are finished and the funding model is all wrong.
Posted by 2011wd in Access To Capital, Advanced Building Materials, Advanced Fuels, Bio Based Research Institute, Bio-AutoGas, Bio-Composites, BioBased, Biocatalysts, Biology, Biorefinery, BTL, Fluid Catalytic Cracking (FCC) Catalysts, Green Chemistry, Old Energy Designs, Permaculture, Pre Treatment, Recycled Building Materials, Remediation, Restructure Reports on March 30, 2012
The Talk is of concern for estimated construction cost increases.
This is the very reason why you don’t build big in the first phase of advanced research, design, & development.
This is also why you don’t put all your energy design into one system.
We have been talking about this for years and yet few have had the insight to stop and listen to what we are offering to potential working partners.
Start small and stick with what has been working. Make a profit. Then grow from that operations awareness.
If you don’t know what has been working. We can’t help you. Our 1st Choice potential working partners know & have been doing it for years.
A few words on the subject. Your FEEDSTOCKS are wrong. Much less your Temp.
If selecting this Feedstock and Temp….
It is Green Chemistry that comes from the Thermo Conversion Aspects that should be considered. It is the Separation Tech that should be Advanced if you value the true profit potential as we do.
This is old, as in 2009 but it will get you up to speed on the basics, allowing for a new Biomass Fluid Catalytic Cracking (BFCC) Catalysts
Excellent People. Worthy Goal. How you don’t get cost over runs with this type of large scale objective is beyond our, proven small scale, thinking.
This is not some quick fix green race. Rather it is the Energy Business that is attempting to go green over time.
If you forget that long term fact, you will not be around, nor will your investors make money.
Case in point. The talk is of being able to use old energy refiners. Sure the integrated in the mix would like to see this, however the green in anyone who has been in this research work for over 20 years, might say, Wait a minute. Shouldn’t the Hydroprocessing REACTOR be ADVANCED?
Shouldn’t the design of the New Plant be ADVANCED. If all you are doing is talking about a MORE COSTLY Old System the cost over runs are going to be there because the old systems will also need to be advanced.
This was shown as far back as 2004. Where were some of these new green thinkers then? Even old energy Pros know they need to change how they are building their systems. That means cost overruns every time. So much so, that no one wants to go first with any new build because they know it will be outdated before it is finished, see the latest, coming out of Cal
Bottom line is this. Even the Old Energy Systems must be advanced. What is it going to cost and how long is it going to take? Don’t let anyone blow smoke up your butt. No one knows, but you can bet it will cost more and take longer than anyone attempting to promote any new idea truly understands.
Hence the reason you don’t just focus on BTL & GTL. There is far more to consider and if you are not understanding this yet. We can’t help you.
More than Willing to offer up this. It is going to take far more than any new start up can raise with some IPO. That is nothing more tnan a VC pipedream. When we say this is Large Scale, we are addressing the scope & demand of integration. This is the very reason we have been doing this with our own dime. Expect 25 years of R&D with very little hope of Rev., while in research & design mode. Energy is only one piece of a much bigger puzzle. That puzzle must be integrated, closed looped, & designed with a permaculture understanding and awareness. Old Energy doesn’t even have a CLUE in that regard and doesn’t want one either. Anyone attempting to bring green solutions to old energy design models is barking up the wrong tree and will face overruns strong enough to kill a HORSE.
The old energy integrated can afford that. Can you?
CPI chart does show it all.
Posted by greensciences in 2011 Energy Report, Blowing the F#*@ing Whistle, BTL, Economic Policy, Oil Prices, Old Energy Designs on May 13, 2011
the chart shows the next swing will be to the down side. That downside swing maybe massive, lasting as long as the 08 downward swing and all directly related to the price of the product.
if you do not understand domestic U.S. Supply and Demand, then you do not understand the price action of light sweet and if you don’t, you will never understand the action of anything else. If you are in alternatives, you can get your teeth kicked in, as most have, simply because they don’t understand the price action.
If you have raised public money without knowing this price action, heaven help your investors.
everything moves around the price of the product and to be sure the supply and demand, U.S. domestic is as out of wack as it was in 08.
this all set up by traders, who are banksters and wall st., just as it was in 2008.
they play it for as long as they are able until the shorts come in big and then they pound it the other way on the backs of the short positions.
once again they will clean up trading the price of the product and to be sure most will have shorted the dollar, just when they expected the product price to climb higher.
As for PMs. When you see them call for more cover, they know what is coming. IT’s a signal that they want to make sure your down side risk is going to be PAID IN FULL.
Wide swings come into play, as everyone wants in and out on any news that sounds good.
The chart…
There is your trading signal, a week or so late, however showing up as confirmation on the next long term move.
10 Strikes Against N.P.
Posted by greensciences in 2011 Power Report, Green Design, Green Sustainable Future, Master Planning, Non profit, Old Energy Designs, Power, Power to the People, Speak Truth To Power, Truth in Markets on March 22, 2011
Leading Green Non-Profit speaks truth to power. Where are the rest of the, so called, green .orgs?
If you say you are a green .org and your not against N.P. and speaking OUT about it, you are only fooling yourself.
Will Distributed Solar Drive Utilities into Bankruptcy?
Posted by greensciences in 2011 Power Report, BACT, CHP, Green Design, Green Sustainable Future, LAER, Natural Gas, Old Energy Designs, Power, Power Towers, Recapitalization Reports, Restructure & Recapitization, Restructure Reports, Solar, Solar Companies, STE, TES Thermal Energy Storage, Tracking Stocks, Truth in Markets, Waste To Energy on February 26, 2011
We do not address the residential side of power however if the price to install does come down we might in the future. Why pay higher prices now if you know the price of install will come down. Makes no sense.
Commercial is another matter. A very big matter.
As this question is extremely important we will address the public ECO ASPECTS. BACT will not do with regard to retrofit, however much you are SOLD on the idea. If you are not reworking old energy designs with LAER standards, you are simply kicking the can down a very short road. When you look at Utility Value WATCH OUT FOR poor clean up designs which might be approved very recently. Those retrofit expenses do NOT produce Green Sustainable Eco Standards in our view. NOT BY A LONG SHOT.
The Power Sector is a vital part of our work and our detailed answers are private and very much a part of our research reports which are private user access only. There is a great deal here that has been overlooked. Current Case in point, showing recently approved rework addressed in private reporting details.
Price Swing is directly related to regional supply and demand
Posted by greensciences in 2011 Power Report, Bio-gas, BioBased, Blowing the F#*@ing Whistle, BTL, Green Design, Green Sustainable Future, green transportation, Green Washing, GTL, Old Energy Designs, Power to the People, Truth in Markets on February 11, 2011
The US has an Over Supply of oil at present. The rest of the world’s market is tighter, hence the supply and demand, PRICE SHIFT.
This may get wider with TIME as WE START TO INCREASE both BTL and GTL, US Domestic, see…
http://1eco.com/2011/01/31/biofuels-should-replace-m-e-imports/
As for SOUR and SWEET. Guess which refinery might get CLOSED over time? Which one gets FINED if it isn’t updated to CLEAN that SOUR.
Didn’t someone get HIT with a $700M upgrade settlement just the other day. Seems I read that somewhere. Numbers like that may not matter to Big Cap. When you’re a little independent those kind of numbers can make you a little less likely to put up with the SMELL. If you give TWO CENTS worth of attention to CLEAN GREEN SOLUTIONS you might begin to learn the difference in the two products.
I myself prefer this…
Natural Gas does play a part in this as it MIGHT play a part in GTL, or Power to reduce production costs associated with BTL or GTL.
By the way. Which country has the MOST GOLD?
Is it CHINA?
Is it Japan?
Who guessed Gold & Silver would go up as the price of the product went down here in the US, while at the same time going up everywhere else?
Who ever you are, IT would seem you just WON the short term prize.
The question becomes this? What does this do to the currency plays. It’s still a few WILD moves OUT as YET. Can you see IT? It is coming.
INTO ETERNITY – Trailer
Posted by 2011wd in Old Energy Designs, Power, Power to the People, Video on January 28, 2011
Movie Reviews and Screenings…
@rachelsf INTO ETERNITY – captivating, wondrous, extremely frightening. Screening 3/4 @sfgreenfilmfest
BACT, best available control technology, has just shifted to BRIGHT GREEN
Posted by 2011wd in 2011 Power Report, Advanced Building Materials, Algae, BACT, Bio-Composites, Bio-gas, Biology, Bioneers, BTL, CCS, CHP, CSS carbon sequestration & storage, Feedstock, Green Design, Green Jobs, integrate CAD/BIM/GIS, M & A, Natural Gas, Old Energy Designs, Power, STE, TES Thermal Energy Storage, Waste To Energy on December 21, 2010
That being said the new year brings new surprises for those wishing to build new, old energy design, POWER projects, or clean, 30 year old, ones. Those new cost considerations are far more advanced that present thinking and they will require a whole new cost est. projection, which is the very project we have been working on for years, relative to integrated clean solutions. It was never enough to simply do the min. required in old cleaning work. While it is easy to see that work was much better than nothing, $119 Million will not get the job done anymore.
We attempted to make this point before the deadline for the new rules to KICK IN on JAN.1 and no one seemed to listen. Time and Time again we have been saying this is far more costly than most might think and yet M&A with regard to power went right on as if they simply had no care in the world. All the while this is what you might now get new in basic combined cycle systems..
Keep in mind that is NEW POWER PLANT Construction not something 30 years old, or older.
Not that this is remotely like, what we might wish to build for the same, Massive Amount, of money.
Even with all our work we still don’t have a total projected number and it may be months before we do, even as we are working full bore on the project. While all of this research is private, to be sure it is FAR NORTH by a long SHOT of that old clean number. Our work has not come up with a total figure as yet but as the managing partner, I am able to say, there is no way that number is even in the ballpark.
More will be in our 2011 Power Report, however that report as are all reports will be private. That data is only provided to our private Energy Division and the Bus. Dev. Working Partners. It will also be provided to all Licensee holders.
To be sure, A Permaculture Mindset MUST BE REQUIRED, as we view BACT, IN AMERICA STARTING IN 2011
Anything short of that missed the B, as in BEST.
Dec. 21, 2010
JP
Just got this today, showing someone IS BURNING HOT WITH BRIGHT GREEN ENERGY..
I am very pleased to see no NUMBERS were injected into this very important announcement and HOPE they will not be in the future as the real numbers make SHAKE The foundations of these old energy THINKERS. This REGION is in OUR WHEELHOUSE to be sure WE will want to speak to all Executives with regard to this NEW BACT, REDESIGN with CLEAN GREEN SOLUTIONS EST. in PRIVATE.
HOPE IS ALIVE and Growing Stronger by the DAY
With regard to the Site remediation $500M to $800M JOB. That should be directed by the .org that force the clean up in the first DAMN place. Read their PDF here…
We will consider power properties for clean conversion solutions.
Posted by 2011wd in 2010 Energy Report, CCS, CSS carbon sequestration & storage, Eco Trust Land Acq., Green Sustainable Future, integrate CAD/BIM/GIS, M & A, Master Planning, Old Energy Designs, Regional and Community banks, Water and Waste Treatment on December 2, 2010
As ideal projects are located we will work with our private partners to produce estimated conversion costs for each potential Acq. property. This is done, in large part, due to changes in the private funding financial structure. That new structure has recently been proven with a new $2B TRUST which we view as first rate. This rating based on the non profit funds willing to invest. This maybe directly related to timely annual disbursement factors, no doubt attractive, to the TRUST Partners. As our own program moves forward, we are selecting, in the black, green energy working models, that might be assisted by SEEDING. See as news might warrant, footnote.
We will be contacting our long standing private base to secure working partners while reporting back with regard to our own private TRUST as news might warrant. Both big cap and mid cap working partner project cost est. will be added together as needed. This will provide all potential TRUST Holders with total potential cost considerations per possible project Acq.
IT has come to our attention as of Dec. 17, 2010 that a present number for old energy design clean retro fit is projected to be far to small from our viewpoint. Currently we see this from a more advanced clean solutions perspective that is (LAER) by design. Revised and extended remarks are held as private at this time as the numbers become VITAL. The current number that has been used to make this project possible is no where near what we would need to get the job done utilizing (BACT) as we see it, much less (LAER). This disconnect is on the order of less than half of the true projected costs considerations that should be used and even that number may not work. Those who do not get this FACT either don’t care about the environment or don’t understand why it is important to do the JOB right the first time.
This means business development information is limited in scope here, however we do wish to keep our friends posted as to all potential future developments.
This is very important work and it should be done with far more size and speed than we have the time or power to devote to it, however these are very long term green sustainable objectives demanding VAST potential outlays of time, effort, and money that must be considered. Anyone who might wish to agree with the numbers currently provided may simply be fooling themselves with regard to old energy designs and demands, which are extensive. Many of these properties are well over 30 years old.
Such is the nature of alternative energy in America. This new TRUST aspect will change the snail pace seen for the last 22 years, if and only if, real numbers are being used for possible conversion to clean sustainable solutions. That may happen as (BACT) numbers shift to what truly might be regarded as Best Available Control Technology. If we do the JOB it will not only meet (BACT), it will meet (LAER) Lowest Achievable Emission Rate objectives.
As News Might Warrant, See Private File 2112011 via the Bio Energy Strategic Integration Officer.
JP
When should working clean energy models be funded? Should effective land use matter?
only when the feedstocks are a part of an integrated CAD/BIM/GIS total system design will it be possible to see real economic value exhibited on a large scale.
http://1eco.com/category/integrate-cadbimgis/ algae shows feedstock potential in many forms, closed loop design models being one such form however small. closed loop systems do not demand large cost if costs are offset by effective design utilization for other important aspects other than feedstock production. why closed loop, you might ask. Total system design space utilization. case in point. the latest solar array approved for future funding has a total land area demand of over 4 thousand acres. this is poor integrated design however it will be funded.
as for investors. in an attempt to fund the first successful green alternative oil BTL effort, very high risk has been taken with less study than should be required. others are now looking at Carbon sequestration & storage http://1eco.com/category/css-carbon-sequestration-storage/ which would deal directly with the energy issue from a clean burning perspective with old energy system designs. STORAGE becomes their issue, again demanding large land space utilization, which has also been approved for funding. Neither future funded program will be utilizing that land as it should have been, however both are going to be funded. Only when closed loop systems are integrated in a total system design will you begin to see truly effective clean energy system designs. This does not seem to matter at this point in the funding process.
Who is to blame for these short sighted funding choices and why?
Now they revise demand! Still projecting an increase in global demand.
Posted by 2011wd in China, Economic Policy, Energy Conservation is JOB 1, Energy Policy, Old Energy Designs on May 12, 2010
It looks as if the IEA, EIA, and OPEC have all been singing the same tune. Even more demand coming out of China.
The one Energy Forecasting Body from France may soon start to get the potential shift in the wind. It is, as if, all three bodies read the same Crystal Ball. How is that Possible?
http://bit.ly/9uxUqJ The claim, is that China, will be the big new user. When might that change? When the bloom is off the rose. When might that happen? When the R.E. Boom in a global downturn is Exposed as the NEXT BIG SHOE TO FALL. The last thing you want to be doing in a global deflationary market is BUILD. You don’t build when global demand is going down, you downsize. You conserve. You cut back. China has been going the wrong way for a very long time because they could sell into global markets. Those global markets are going where? DOWN
If it an R.E. Boom can be exposed in Japan and America, it can be exposed in China. Over capacity drives prices down, not up. China’s biggest market is where? EU.
If China can’t sell into the global markets as demand goes down, what does that do to the BALTIC DRY? END OF STORY.
Energy Conservation is, has been, and will always be, JOB 1









